To find out, my colleagues Gideon Fishman and Simon Hakim, and I carried out a logistic regression analysis, taking into account the location, surroundings, and attributes of a home, as well as the presence or non-presence of a variety of security measures.

Background
Gary Becker, the 1992 Nobel Prize Laureate in Economics, published his seminal work on the rational behavior of the criminals in 1968, a work in which he claimed that a criminal evaluates costs and benefits in choosing his life style and also in deciding whether or not to carry out a particular crime. A decade or so later, my colleague Simon Hakim elaborated on Becker's model by introducing a spatial dimension that states that a burglar's choice of a particular home depends on the expected net return of each potentially available home.

READ FULL ARTICLE >